Economic Outlook and Market Analysis

Jim Welsh provided a detailed analysis of the current state of inflation, predicting that it will continue to rise due to the reversal of energy prices and food prices. He also discussed the impact of higher interest rates on unemployment numbers and predicted that a recession is likely in the near future based on historical indicators such as the yield curve inversion and the increase in lending standards. Kerry Lutz and Jim Welsh discussed the shift in market sentiment from anticipating a recession to believing that it is no longer a concern, and how this may actually increase the likelihood of a recession.

Jim provided a comprehensive overview of the economic factors at play and the potential consequences for investors and the economy as a whole. Welsh also provided market analysis on gold, the S&P 500, and lending standards, and suggested caution in light of current prices.