Major Trend Indicator

Technical Review

Big Week: FOMC, Economic Data, Earnings

July 28, 2025

Global Economic Report

Peak Uncertainty

May 1, 2025

After the end of World War II there was great uncertainty about how the US economy would handle the return of 12 million soldiers, the transition from manufacturing war ships, tanks, bombers, and military weapons to consumer goods, and whether inflation would soar...

A Recession is Coming. Aggressive FOMC and Lending Tells the Story.

October 6, 2023

Jim Welsh of Macro Tides sits down with Blake Morrow and talks about the markets ahead of the key NFP non-farm payroll jobs report tomorrow. He discusses the recession risks and how they are growing with tight lending standards and an aggressive Fed hike campaign.

Jim also covers the...

Technical Review, Global Economic Report

Macro Factors and their impact on Monetary Policy, the Economy, and Financial Markets

Thank you for your interest in my analysis.

The cornerstone of my Tactical Strategy is the intersection of Economic Fundamentals, Monetary Policy, and Technical Analysis. The combination of these has helped me implement an effective Tactical Strategy that seeks to identify...

Technical Review, Global Economic Report

A Secular 15 Year Bear Market Is Coming

Will You Be Ready?

The stock market rewards the Buy and Hold investment strategy during a Secular Bull Market as every cyclical bear market is followed by higher highs. The S&P 500 has repeatedly made a new all time high since the low in March 2009, despite a number of meaningful setbacks. Investors have...

Technical Review

Markets Fail to Discount Forks in the Road

One of the most widely accepted axioms on Wall Street is that markets are a discounting mechanism. It implies that markets possess a form of collective wisdom and those who listen to the “ message of the market ” are “ smart ” investors.

Copper is reputed to have a Ph.D. in economics...

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